Lucrezia Borgia: A Woman Pope?

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Lucrezia Borgia
The only confirmed Lucrezia portrait painted from life (attributed to Dosso Dossi, c. 1519, National Gallery of Victoria[1])
Duchess-consort of FerraraModena, and Reggio
Tenure25 January 1505 – 24 June 1519
Duchess consort of Bisceglie, Princess consort of Salerno
Tenure1498 – 1500
Governor of Spoleto
Tenure1499 – 1500
Lady of Pesaro and Gradara, Countess of Catignola
Tenure12 June 1492 – 20 December 1497
Born18 April 1480
Subiaco
Died24 June 1519 (aged 39)
Ferrara
BurialConvent of Corpus Domini
SpouseGiovanni Sforza​​(m. 1493; annulled 1497)​
Alfonso of Aragon​​(m. 1498; died 1500)​
Alfonso d’Este
​​(m. 1502)​
IssueRodrigo of Aragon
Alessandro d’Este (1505-1505)
Ercole II d’Este, Duke of Ferrara
Ippolito II d’Este
Alessandro d’Este (1514-1516)
Leonora d’Este
Francesco d’Este, Marchese di Massalombarda
Isabella Maria d’Este
HouseBorgia
FatherPope Alexander VI
MotherVannozza dei Cattanei

Lucrezia Borgia (Italian pronunciation: [luˈkrɛttsja ˈbɔrdʒa]; Valencian: Lucrècia Borja [luˈkrɛsia ˈbɔɾdʒa]; 18 April 1480 – 24 June 1519) was a Spanish-Italian noblewoman of the House of Borgia who was the daughter of Pope Alexander VI and Vannozza dei Cattanei. She reigned as the Governor of Spoleto, a position usually held by cardinals, in her own right.

Her family arranged several marriages for her that advanced their own political position including Giovanni Sforza, Lord of Pesaro and Gradara, Count of Catignola; Alfonso of Aragon, Duke of Bisceglie and Prince of Salerno; and Alfonso I d’Este, Duke of Ferrara. Tradition has it that Alfonso of Aragon was an illegitimate son of the King of Naples and that her brother Cesare Borgia may have had him murdered after his political value waned.

Rumors about her and her family cast Lucrezia as a femme fatale, a role in which she has been portrayed in many artworks, novels and films.

Early life

See also: House of Borgia

Lucrezia Borgia was born on 18 April 1480 at Subiaco, near Rome.[2] Her mother was Vannozza dei Cattanei, one of the mistresses of Lucrezia’s father, Cardinal Rodrigo de Borgia (later Pope Alexander VI).[3] During her early life, Lucrezia Borgia’s education was entrusted to Adriana Orsini de Milan, a close confidant of her father. Her education would primarily take place in the Piazza Pizzo de Merlo, a building adjacent to her father’s residence. Unlike most educated women of her time, for whom convents were the primary source for knowledge, her education came from within the sphere of intellectuals in the court and close relatives, and it included a solid grounding in the Humanities, which the Catholic Church was reviving at the time. She was a thoroughly accomplished princess, fluent in SpanishCatalanItalian, and French, which prepared her for advantageous marriage to any European monarch or prince, and literate in both Latin and Greek. She would also become proficient in the lute, poetry, and oration. The biggest testament to her intelligence is her capability in administration, as later on in life she took care of Vatican City correspondence and governance of Ferrara.[citation needed]

Marriages

First marriage: Giovanni Sforza (Lord of Pesaro and Gradara)

Possible portrait of Lucrezia as St. Catherine of Alexandria in a fresco by Pinturicchio, in the Sala dei Santi the Borgia apartments in the Vatican c. 1494.Giovanni Sforza

On 26 February 1491, a matrimonial arrangement was drawn up between Lucrezia and the Lord of Val D’Ayora, in the kingdom of Valencia, Don Cherubino Joan de Centelles, which was annulled less than two months later in favour of a new contract engaging Lucrezia to Don Gaspare Aversa, count of Procida.[4] When Rodrigo became Pope Alexander VI, he sought to be allied with powerful princely families and founding dynasties of Italy. He therefore called off Lucrezia’s previous engagements and arranged for her to marry Giovanni Sforza, a member of the House of Sforza who was Lord of Pesaro and titled Count of Catignola.[5] Giovanni was an illegitimate son of Costanzo I Sforza and a Sforza of the second rank. He married Lucrezia on 12 June 1493 in Rome.[3]

Before long, the Borgia family no longer needed the Sforzas, and the presence of Giovanni Sforza in the papal court was superfluous. The Pope needed new, more advantageous political alliances, so he might have covertly ordered the execution of Giovanni: the generally accepted version is that Lucrezia was informed of this by her brother Cesare, and she warned her husband, who fled Rome.[6]

Alexander asked Giovanni’s uncle, Cardinal Ascanio Sforza, to persuade Giovanni to agree to an annulment of the marriage.[citation needed] Giovanni refused and accused Lucrezia of paternal incest.[7] The pope asserted that his daughter’s marriage had not been consummated and was thus invalid. Giovanni was offered her dowry in return for his cooperation.[8] The Sforza family threatened to withdraw their protection should he refuse. Giovanni finally signed confessions of impotence and documents of annulment before witnesses.

Alleged affair with Perotto

There has been speculation that during the prolonged process of the annulment, Lucrezia consummated a relationship with someone, perhaps Alexander’s chamberlain Pedro Calderon, also named Perotto.[9] In any case, families hostile to the Borgias would later accuse her of being pregnant at the time her marriage was annulled for non-consummation. She is known to have retired to the convent of San Sisto in June 1497 to await the outcome of the annulment proceedings, which were finalized in December of the same year. The bodies of Pedro Calderon[9] and a maid, Pantasilea, were found in the Tiber in February 1498. In March 1498, the Ferrarese ambassador claimed that Lucrezia had given birth, but this was denied by other sources. A child was born, however, in the Borgia household the year before Lucrezia’s marriage to Alfonso of Aragon. He was named Giovanni but is known to historians as the “Infans Romanus“.

In 1501, two papal bulls were issued concerning the child, Giovanni Borgia. In the first, he was recognized as Cesare’s child from an affair before his marriage. The second, contradictory, bull recognized him as the son of Pope Alexander VI. Lucrezia’s name is not mentioned in either, and rumors that she was his mother have never been proven. The second bull was kept secret for many years, and Giovanni was assumed to be Cesare’s son. This is supported by the fact that in 1502 he became Duke of Camerino, one of Cesare’s recent conquests, hence the natural inheritance of the Duke of Romagna‘s oldest son. Giovanni went to stay with Lucrezia in Ferrara after Alexander’s death, where he was accepted as her half-brother.[10]

Second marriage: Alfonso d’Aragon (Duke of Bisceglie and Prince of Salerno)

Duke Alfonso of Aragon

Following her annulment from Sforza, Lucrezia was married to the Neapolitan Alfonso of Aragon, the half-brother of Sancha of Aragon who was the wife of Lucrezia’s brother Gioffre Borgia. The marriage was a short one.[3]

They were married in 1498, making Lucrezia the Duchess consort of Bisceglie and Princess consort of Salerno. Lucrezia—not her husband—was appointed governor of Spoleto in 1499; Alfonso fled Rome shortly afterwards but returned at Lucrezia’s request, only to be murdered in 1500.[11]

It was widely rumored[12] that Lucrezia’s brother Cesare was responsible for Alfonso’s death, as he had recently allied himself (through marriage) with France against Naples. Lucrezia and Alfonso had one child, Rodrigo of Aragon, who was born in 1499 and predeceased his mother in August 1512 at the age of 12.[3]

Third marriage: Alfonso d’Este (Duke of Ferrara)

Alfonso d’EstePossible portrait by Bartolomeo Veneziano (c. 1510)[13]

After the death of Lucrezia’s second husband, her father, Pope Alexander VI, arranged a third marriage. She then married Alfonso I d’EsteDuke of Ferrara, in early 1502 in Ferrara. She had eight children during this marriage and was considered a respectable and accomplished Renaissance duchess, effectively rising above her previous reputation and surviving the fall of the Borgias following her father’s death.[14]

Neither partner was faithful: beginning in 1503, Lucrezia enjoyed a long relationship with her brother-in-law, Francesco II Gonzaga, Marquess of Mantua.[15][16] Francesco’s wife was the cultured intellectual Isabella d’Este, the sister of Alfonso, to whom Lucrezia had made overtures of friendship to no avail. The affair between Francesco and Lucrezia was passionate, more sexual than sentimental as can be attested in the fevered love letters the pair wrote one another.[17] It has been claimed that the affair ended when Francesco contracted syphilis and had to end sexual relations with Lucrezia.[18] This last assertion is problematic as Francesco had contracted syphilis before 1500 as it was known that he passed the disease onto his eldest son Federico Gonzaga who was born in 1500. Francesco did not meet Lucrezia until 1502.[19]

Lucrezia also had a love affair with the poet Pietro Bembo during her third marriage. Their love letters were deemed “The prettiest love letters in the world” by the Romantic poet Lord Byron when he saw them in the Ambrosian Library of Milan on 15 October 1816.[20][21] On the same occasion Byron claimed to have stolen a lock of Lucrezia’s hair – “the prettiest and fairest imaginable”[21] – that was also held there on display.[22][23][24]

Lucrezia met the famed French soldier, the Chevalier Bayard while the latter was co-commanding the French allied garrison of Ferrara in 1510. According to his biographer, the Chevalier became a great admirer of Lucrezia’s, considering her a “pearl on this Earth”.[25]

After a long history of complicated pregnancies and miscarriages, on 14 June 1519 Lucrezia gave birth to her tenth child, named Isabella Maria in honour of Alfonso’s sister Isabella d’Este. The child was sickly and – fearing she would die unbaptised – Alfonso ordered her to be baptised straightaway with Eleonora della Mirandola and Count Alexandro Serafino as godparents.

Lucrezia had become very weak during the pregnancy and fell seriously ill after the birth. After seeming to recover for two days, she worsened again and died on 24 June the same year. She was buried in the convent of Corpus Domini.[26]

Appearance

Portrait of a Woman by Bartolomeo Veneto, traditionally assumed to be Lucrezia Borgia.Signature of Lucrezia Borgia in a letter to her sister-in-law Isabella Gonzaga, March 1519Tomb of Alfonso I d’Este and Lucrezia Borgia, Ferrara

She is described as having heavy blonde hair that fell past her knees, a beautiful complexion, hazel eyes that changed color, a full, high bosom, and a natural grace that made her appear to “walk on air”.[27] These physical attributes were highly appreciated in Italy during that period. Another description said, “her mouth is rather large, the teeth brilliantly white, her neck is slender and fair, and the bust is admirably proportioned.”[28]

One painting, Portrait of a Youth by Dosso Dossi at the National Gallery of Victoria, was identified as a portrait of Lucrezia in November 2008.[29][30][31][32][33] This painting may be the only surviving formal portrait of Lucrezia Borgia; however, doubts have been cast on that attribution.[34] Several other paintings, such as Veneto‘s fanciful portrait, have also been said to depict her, but none have been accepted by scholars at present.

According to Mandell Creighton in his History of the Papacy “Lucrezia … was personally popular through her beauty and her affability. Her long golden hair, her sweet childish face, her pleasant expression and her graceful ways, seem to have struck all who saw her.”

Rumours

Several rumours have persisted throughout the years, primarily speculating as to the nature of the extravagant parties thrown by the Borgia family. One example is the Banquet of Chestnuts. Many of these concern allegations of incestpoisoning, and murder on her part; however, no historical basis for these rumours has ever been brought forward beyond allegations made by rival parties.

  • It is rumoured that Lucrezia was in possession of a hollow ring that she used frequently to poison drinks.[35][36]
  • An early 20th-century painting by Frank Cadogan Cowper that hangs in the London art gallery, Tate Britain, portrays Lucrezia taking the place of her father, Pope Alexander VI, at an official Vatican meeting. This apparently documents an actual event, although the precise moment depicted (a Franciscan friar kissing Lucrezia’s feet) was invented by the artist.[37]

More at: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lucrezia_Borgia

“Choice” [1964 Barry Goldwater Campaign Film]

CONELRAD6401240 The entire controversial campaign film banned by Senator Barry Goldwater in 1964.

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Stochastic Terrorism: Triggering the shooters.

G2geek Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Monday January 10, 2011 (dailykos.com)

Stochastic terrorism is the use of mass communications to stir up random lone wolves to carry out violent or terrorist acts that are statistically predictable but individually unpredictable.

This is what occurs when Bin Laden releases a video that stirs random extremists halfway around the globe to commit a bombing or shooting.

This is also the term for what Beck, O’Reilly, Hannity, and others do.  And this is what led directly and predictably to a number of cases of ideologically-motivated murder similar to the Tucson shootings.

Update: the mechanism spelled out.

(This update is to resolve some ambiguity.)  

The person who actually plants the bomb or assassinates the public official is not the stochastic terrorist, they are the “missile” set in motion by the stochastic terrorist.  The stochastic terrorist is the person who uses mass media as their means of setting those “missiles” in motion.

Here’s the mechanism spelled out concisely:

The stochastic terrorist is the person who uses mass media to broadcast memes that incite unstable people to commit violent acts.  

One or more unstable people responds to the incitement by becoming a lone wolf and committing a violent act.   While their action may have been statistically predictable (e.g. “given the provocation, someone will probably do such-and-such”), the specific person and the specific act are not predictable (yet).  

The stochastic terrorist then has plausible deniability: “Oh, it was just a lone nut, nobody could have predicted he would do that, and I’m not responsible for what people in my audience do.”

The lone wolf who was the “missile” gets captured and sentenced to life in prison, while the stochastic terrorist keeps his prime time slot and goes on to incite more lone wolves.    

Further, the stochastic terrorist may be acting either negligently or deliberately, or may be in complete denial of their impact, just like a drunk driver who runs over a pedestrian without even realizing it.  

Finally, there is no conspiracy here: merely the twisted acts of individuals who are promoting extremism, who get access to national media in which to do it, and the rest follows naturally just as an increase in violent storms follows from an increase in average global temperature.  

And now we return to the rest of the original diary…
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The lone wolves.

The term “lone wolf” is used in law enforcement and intel to refer to an individual who is emotionally unstable, who lacks obvious ties to known criminal gangs or terrorist groups, and who pops up seemingly out of nowhere to commit a violent or terrorist act.  

The three-letter agencies can keep an eye on organized groups, and do a damn good job at stopping violent actors associated with those groups.  At least three intended car bombings were stopped last year by the FBI intercepting the bombers and substituting fake explosives in time to save hundreds of lives and arrest the would-be bombers.  

Lone wolves don’t have obvious connections through which they can be discovered.  They don’t communicate much if at all about their intentions.  They keep their plans to themselves.  And then, apparently at random, they pop up from obscurity and commit murder.  They are law enforcement’s and intel’s worst nightmare, and on Saturday one of them became America’s nightmare.    
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Stirring the pot.

At any given time there are hundreds of thousands of Americans with combinations of personality characteristics (such as emotional instability, a paranoid ideology, and a propensity for violence) that put them at risk of going off the deep end and becoming lone wolves.  All it takes is the right push, the right nudge at the right time, to dislodge a few of them and send them on their way to fifteen minutes of fame surrounded by dead bodies.  

There’s nothing mysterious about this process.  It is not much different to other instances where a person is almost ready to make a decision, and the right combination of inputs makes them act.  For example you have an old car and it begins to break down more often: now you’re thinking about replacing it, and you might be swayed by something in an automobile advertisement.  Anyone who is familiar with marketing and advertising knows how this works, and advertisers often target their messages to people who are “ready to buy” and just need a little persuading.  Political candidates often target their ads to the undecideds, hoping that a little nudge will win them some votes.  This is perfectly normal and hardly insidious.  

It becomes insidious when these practices are used in such a manner as to deliberately or negligently stir up lone wolf violence.  

So let’s take Beck, Hannity, and O’Reilly.  There is no question that their emotional rhetoric appeals to people who are emotionally unstable.  And, since their audiences are tracked and analyzed in detail, there is no question that they know it.  

When they go on TV and shout and sputter, rant and rave, and weep and wail, they are not expecting to persuade liberals or even undecideds to change their votes.  They are “playing to their base,” that they know includes people who are emotionally unstable.  In short they are “stirring the pot.”  And if you turn up the temperature and keep stirring, you know that the pot will boil.  Little bubbles will come up from the depths and pop.  
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Pop go the lone wolves.

Some lone wolves have no provable connection to the hate-talkers and pot-stirrers, other than memes in common.  One example of this type is James Wenneker von Brunn who shot and killed security guard Stephen Tyrone Johns at the US Holocaust Memorial Museum.  Another is Andrew Joseph Stack III, who flew a Piper Dakota into the Austin Texas field office of the Internal Revenue Service, killing IRS manager Vernon Hunter and himself, and injuring thirteen others.  At this point it appears as if Jared Loughner is one of these: all-over-the-map crazy, with an incoherent ideology that is mostly rightwing but difficult to trace to specific sources.  

(UPDATE: to be very clear about this: at this point I am not aware of any evidence to suggest that Loughner falls under the definition of stochastic terrorism, because there is nothing yet to link him to being a fan of one of the mass media hate-talkers.  However there are enough other cases out there to make this issue topical and relevant right now.)

On the other hand…

On 27 July 2008, lone wolf shooter Jim David Adkisson walked into the Tennessee Valley Unitarian Universalist Church and shot nine people, killing two and wounding seven.  Adkisson said he was motivated by hatred of “Democrats, liberals, n—–s, and faggots.”  A police search of his home found books by Michael Savage, Sean Hannity, and Bill O’Reilly.  

On 4 February 2009, he accepted a plea bargain: guilty on two counts of murder, in exchange for a life sentence w/o possibility of parole (LWOP).

On 4 April 2009, Richard Poplawski shot five Pittsburgh PA police officers, leaving three dead and two seriously wounded.    

According to people who knew him, he was a birther and white supremacist, was paranoid that Obama was going to take away his guns, and was consumed with anti-semitic conspiracy theories.  A police search of his computer found links to various groups and to a YouTube video of Glenn Beck talking about FEMA concentration camps.    

Poplawski’s trial has been delayed until 25 April 2011, where it is possible he will face the death penalty for the murder of police officers.  

On 31 May 2009, lone wolf Scott Roeder shot and killed gynecologist Dr. George Tiller while Tiller was attending church services.  At first it appeared that he acted alone, but research by some fellow Kossaks and I uncovered evidence that he had at least one accomplice.  That issue is presently being investigated by a federal grand jury.  

In the months leading up to the assassination, Bill O’Reilly had waged a “relentless campaign” against Tiller, a campaign of exactly the type that would be expected to stir up violence against the doctor.  The details can be found here:  http://www.salon.com/…

In January 2010 Roeder was convicted of first-degree murder and sentenced to life without parole.  At present his accomplices and enablers have not yet been indicted and charged.

On 18 July 2010, Byron Williams set out from his mother’s home in Groveland CA, heading for San Francisco to shoot up the Tides Foundation and the ACLU, with the intention of “starting a revolution.”  

Williams, a convicted felon (two bank robberies), was stopped by the CHP (California Highway Patrol) for weaving in and out of traffic at high speed.  When stopped, he immediately opened fire on the CHP officers, wounding two.  They returned fire, wounding him in the leg, and then took him into custody.  At first they thought they were dealing with a garden-variety cop shooter.  Then they found the notebook in his car, with the details of his plans.    

Quoting the Wikipedia article on Williams:  http://en.wikipedia.org/…

Quote:  Williams has identified Glenn Beck as his primary motivation for the shootings.  According to Williams, Beck is “like a schoolteacher on TV… he’s been breaking open some of the most hideous corruption.”  Continuing: “Beck would never say anything about a conspiracy, would never advocate violence. He’ll never do anything … of this nature. But he’ll give you every ounce of evidence that you could possibly need.”  End quote.  

Prior to Williams’ planned attack, Beck had mentioned the obscure Tides Foundation 29 times on his program.  He had drawn numerous charts on his infamous blackboard, showing how Tides is the funding source behind much of the “liberal conspiracy.”  He had stoked and fueled, turned up the heat on the pot, and stirred it real good.  He devoted two of his broadcasts to Tides in the very week preceding the shooting.  

Quoting the Washington Post article:  http://www.washingtonpost.com/…

Quote: Beck has at times spoken against violence, but he more often forecasts it, warning that “it is only a matter of time before an actual crazy person really does something stupid.” Most every broadcast has some violent imagery: “The clock is ticking. . . . The war is just beginning. . . . Shoot me in the head if you try to change our government. . . . You have to be prepared to take rocks to the head. . . . The other side is attacking. . . . There is a coup going on. . . . Grab a torch! . . . Drive a stake through the heart of the bloodsuckers. . . . They are taking you to a place to be slaughtered. . . . They are putting a gun to America’s head. . . . Hold these people responsible.”  Unquote.  
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Every ounce of evidence you could possibly need.

One dead doctor.

Two dead churchgoers.

Seven wounded churchgoers.  

Three dead police officers.

Four wounded police officers.  

How many more that I couldn’t remember while writing this?  

Meanwhile the jury is still out on whether Loughner’s victims belong on the list of people who “got Becked.”  

As someone on dKos wrote in a comment about this a few months ago, there was a saying among his buddies in the Air Force:  “Once is a tragedy, twice is a terrible coincidence, three times is enemy action.”

If you were a media personality known for rants & raves on the air, and it came out that some random killer had possibly been influenced by you or one of your colleagues, what would you do?  Would you apologize?  Would you tone it down?

If it happened again, what would you do?  And if it happened yet again after that?  What would you do?  

It takes more than just a special type of sociopath to fail to be moved by the murders of doctors, churchgoers, and police officers in the line of duty, and the could-have-been-murders of more.  

I submit to you that it takes something between callous disregard and deliberate intent.  
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Pulling the trigger by remote control.

If you wanted certain people dead, but you wanted plausible deniability, you would have someone else do the deed for you at a distance, the greater the distance the better.  

One way to do it would be to use your position on radio or TV to hurl emotional rhetoric that is calculated to appeal to people who are psychologically unstable.  Some of them will go out and vote, some will go forth and spread your rant-memes, some will get into bar-room brawls over one issue or another.  

But a few, who have already demonstrated a lack of respect for the law, will do more than that.  Maybe they’ll assault someone on the street who is black or gay or speaking Spanish in public or wearing traditional Islamic garb.  Maybe they’ll make a bomb and put it in the mail or plant it at a women’s clinic.  

Maybe they’ll go out and shoot someone.  Maybe they’ll shoot someone who, in your heart of hearts, you want dead.  If you have a list of targets in mind, such as Operation Rescue’s website with crosshairs on doctors, or Palin’s crosshairs on elected officials, it won’t matter who gets killed first and who gets killed later: any hit will do.

This is stochastic terrorism:  you heat up the waters and stir the pot, knowing full well that sooner or later a lone wolf will pop up and do the deed.  The fact that it will happen is as predictable as the fact that a heated pot of water will eventually boil.  But the exact time and place of each incident will remain as random as the appearance of the first bubbles in the boiling pot.  

And so the unstable shooter, the sick kid or crazy grownup, will be taken into custody where they will rant a disconnected version of your own rants.  The fact that they are clearly nuts will enable shifting the public discussion away from your hateful rhetoric and toward the overt insanity of the shooter or bomber.  

After that, you get to go on the air and tut-tut along with everyone else, and say Oh So Sad, and all that crap.  But behind the scenes you drink a toast and cheer: one down, a bunch more to go.  

Or perhaps you’re just crazy enough to truly believe that you really don’t have anything to do with it.  You collect your media star paycheck and tootle along to the next day in front of cameras and microphones, ready to do it again, as oblivious as the drunk driver who runs over a flock of schoolchildren and keeps driving, and then when the cops pull him over, says “Who, me??”
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The guilty-knowledge test.

Someone needs to corral Beck, Hannity, O’Reilly, Savage, and the rest of them, in front of a microphone and camera that are not of their own choosing.  

For example think of Sixty Minutes and their famed unannounced appearances at the offices and even homes of various wrongdoers over the years.  Or think of press conferences or other scheduled appearances, where someone pops up and asks the inconvenient question or two, and the question captures the headlines.  

And someone needs to ask them:  In light of this latest in a series of ideologically-motivated murders, are you willing to tone down your rhetoric even a little?  

Listen very closely to their answers.  They will duck and weave, evade and deny, or at most give the standard reply of “lone nuts, oh so sad.”  But they may also let slip a subtle hint of guilty knowledge.

The author of the aforementioned WaPo article says in passing, “It’s not fair to blame Beck for violence committed by people who watch his show.”

I say it damn well is fair to blame them when it happens again and again and predictably again.  

Once is a tragedy, twice is a coincidence, three times is enemy action.  

And now we know how it’s done: stir the pot and wait for the inevitable, and then deny it and do it again.  That’s stochastic terrorism as surely as when Bin Laden does it.  And Beck and his fellow hate-mongers are terrorists by remote control.  

This content was created by a Daily Kos Community member.

10 years to transform the future of humanity — or destabilize the planet

Johan Rockström|Countdown (Ted.com)

“For the first time, we are forced to consider the real risk of destabilizing the entire planet,” says climate impact scholar Johan Rockström. In a talk backed by vivid animations of the climate crisis, he shows how nine out of the 15 big biophysical systems that regulate the climate — from the permafrost of Siberia to the great forests of the North to the Amazon rainforest — are at risk of reaching tipping points, which could make Earth uninhabitable for humanity. Hear his plan for putting the planet back on the path of sustainability over the next 10 years — and protecting the future of our children.

This talk was presented at an official TED conference, and was featured by our editors on the home page.

ABOUT THE SPEAKER

Johan Rockström · Climate impact scholarJohan Rockström works to understand Earth resilience.

What are “The Victim Olympics?”

Link: https://youtu.be/e4pdg7cgQCQ

Charles Eisenstein This is an inversion of the heirarchy of dominance. This is a natural pattern, to turn the tables and re-enact the patterns one has been subjected to. Maybe that’s part of the healing process, but it could be part of a trap. https://www.CharlesEisenstein.org#CharlesEisenstein#Climate#Love#Inspiration#Interbeing#Authors#Philosophy#Politics#Polarization

License

Creative Commons Attribution license (reuse allowed)

THE 2020 GREAT CONJUNCTION: JUPITER CONJUNCT SATURN IN AQUARIUS

The 2020 Great Conjunction: Jupiter Conjunct Saturn in Aquarius

Known as “the great conjunction,” the cyclical conjunction between Jupiter and Saturn that occurs every twenty years has been the preeminent method of demarcating historical eras in traditional astrology. When Jupiter and Saturn come together there is both the intensity of old forms dying as well as the fertility of new growth beginning to take shape. In the past century, their cycle has aligned with the transition in between decades, with the conjunctions and oppositions between Jupiter and Saturn marking the start of each decade. For example, there was a Jupiter and Saturn conjunction in 1980, an opposition in 1990, a conjunction in 2000, and an opposition in 2010. Jupiter and Saturn will form their next conjunction on December 21 of 2020 in the first degree of Aquarius, and so most of 2020 will take place during the end of their cycle. There will be an atmosphere of anticipation building during the year of being on the precipice of a new era, while simultaneously old issues will resurface in need of resolution.

Read me: 2020 Astrology Predictions: The Beginning of a New Astrological Era

Together Jupiter and Saturn combine expansive and imaginative vision with the structure and discipline needed to both manifest results as well as strip away the inessential. While Jupiter signifies generosity and fortunate opportunities, it can also lead to egoic greed and delusions of grandeur that requires the contemplative focus of Saturn to trim the excess and strengthen what is ready to ripen. At the same time, we need the inspirational revitalization of Jupiter to mediate the negative side of Saturn that can bring fear over limitations and obstacles and lead to depressive stagnation. During 2020 we will be in a constant balancing act of tempering between Jupiter and Saturn, with a need to shift in between the synthesizing growth of Jupiter and the methodical reordering of Saturn.

Though the conjunction of Jupiter and Saturn every twenty years is always important, their union in 2020 has special and extraordinary significance. Jupiter and Saturn have a pattern of forming their conjunctions in the same element of astrology for approximately two hundred years, such as occurring in water signs from the beginning of the fifteenth century until the beginning of the seventeenth century and in fire signs from the beginning of the seventeenth century until the beginning of the nineteenth century. Since 1802 the Saturn and Jupiter conjunctions have been occurring in earth signs, with the final one occurring on May 28 of 2000 in Taurus. After the conjunction of Jupiter and Saturn in Aquarius in 2020, there will continue to only be conjunctions between Jupiter and Saturn in tropical air signs until 2159.

Thus 2020 is at the end of a two-hundred-year era of Jupiter and Saturn uniting in earth signs. While the earth element signifies focus on material security and consolidation of resources that is resistant to change, the era of air will bring disruption to established orders and dramatic changes in collective ideas and the way we communicate. Vitally, not only will Jupiter and Saturn be uniting in Aquarius, they will also be forming a catalytic square aspect with Uranus in Taurus. At this pivotal moment in our journey, the lightning bolts of Jupiter and Uranus will not only bring down old societal structures but will also impel us to release old personal dreams and drama we have been attached to. There will be new challenges and unknown potential arising as we begin a new era of Jupiter and Saturn that we will need to make space for in our lives. During 2020 ask yourself what you need to leave behind and what you truly desire to carry forward.

(Contributed by Sarah Flynn.)

Libra New Moon, October 16, 2020

Wendy Cicchetti

The Libra New Moon offers an opportunity to examine what tends to knock us off balance and to find ways to introduce helpful systems and actions for greater equilibrium in our lives. Sometimes imbalances show in emotional states or in our attitudes; at other times, they exhibit in practical and physical outcomes. Either way, this New Moon nudges us to pinpoint our best course to achieve and maintain better balance.

Interestingly, Mars — the planet of action — opposes the New Moon. The opposition places a stronger focus on carefully considering behaviors — our own or others’ — and noticing how the latter tend to affect us. For instance, is someone being demanding in an impatient, somewhat, if not outright, aggressive way? How does this make us feel? And does it distract us from any course of personal action of our own that we were trying to progress?

To add to this contemplative atmosphere, Mars — sitting powerfully in Aries and apparently unimpeded in its home sign — is retrograde, suggesting it is driving with the brakes on! Or, some sort of pause button has been pressed, making direct intervention more complicated than usual. This sort of push–pull energy with Mars can be frustrating, especially for anyone who identifies strongly with the “act now, think later” approach to life. But as always, there is likely a good reason for needing access to that pause button! What would be the most obvious first line of action under other circumstances is just not going to serve anyone well at the moment or simply won’t result in the desired outcome.

Sometimes, a retrograde planet expresses as someone behaving in a more aggressive and .,,,different way than normal. It is also possible that we might experience somebody who is usually calm and on the level being over-reactive toward us. One possible defense is to get out of the line of fire through a temporary exit — for example, to another location — until the emotional fire has subsided. However, don’t avoid a confrontation if it is necessary for problem resolution.

Maybe we will even see an unusually temperamental quality in ourselves and can be alert to when a situation or person ignites one of our fuses. We benefit from slowing down and working out exactly what is going on internally. Sometimes it is via backtracking, frame by frame, through the unfolding events that we are able to pinpoint where matters have veered off course. If we can ground ourselves in this knowledge, then we can choose a better way forward for the future.

This grounding opportunity is emphasized by the New Moon’s square to Jupiter, Pluto, and Saturn in Capricorn, underlining how, whilst the effort to identify the source of our reactions requires hard work, it could pay off very well in the long run. This trio of planets belong to the generational and transpersonal planetary groups, indicating that some of the issue may result from ideas and habits being handed down from one generation to the next. In other words, the root of conflict isn’t entirely personal but, with Mars completing a t-square with these planets and the New Moon, it is affecting personal feelings, initiatives, and behaviors all the same.

Venus, is in its fall in Virgo, so we have to try harder to achieve the best way of connecting in our relationships. Will it be through affection? An attempt at being ultra-seductive? Some would say that Venus in Virgo needs or prefers a little more restraint! But Venus is currently a morning star and opposes Neptune, suggesting that the way forward is not marked with clear signposts. Venus also trines Jupiter — usually more adventurous, but less so in Capricorn. In other words, Jupiter has a tendency to be constricted when in its fall.

This article is from the Mountain Astrologer, written by Diana Collis.

California tribe offered solution to wildfire management. Was U.S. Forest Service listening?

By Peter Fimrite (SFChronicle.com)

Oct. 12–HAPPY CAMP, Siskiyou County — Leeon Hillman walked slowly, sadly, to a semicircle of piled rocks surrounded by blackened trees. He knelt there, turning away from the heap of ash, which was all the massive Slater Fire had left of his house.

The 53-year-old member of the Karuk Tribe was among dozens of Native Americans who lost their homes in the forested hillsides surrounding Happy Camp, in Siskiyou County. The fire, which is still burning across the border in Oregon, raced through the area in September.

“I used to make arrowheads right here,” said Hillman, who teaches the techniques his ancestors once used to make bows, arrows and other ceremonial regalia. “It’s going to take me forever to come back and try to create what I lost. It’s depressing, especially when you know all this stuff could be managed better.”

The wildfire was a particularly hard blow for people like Hillman, who adhere to Karuk traditions. That’s because it burned most intensely in a portion of the Klamath National Forest where Karuk leaders had for years been urging the U.S. Forest Service to employ traditional prescribed burning techniques, to no avail.

For thousands of years, California tribes burned the state’s forests and brushlands, clearing and enhancing the fire-adapted ecosystem. Then white people arrived and banned the practice.

The United States government later put into place a strategy — in part to protect the timber industry — to aggressively extinguish all wildfires. The result over the past century has been overgrown forests in California with vast quantities of under-story debris prone to the kinds of massive fires that have been raging across California.

“I would like to be able to use modern tools and our ancestral knowledge and integrate it with western science so we can restore the natural landscape,” said Bill Tripp, the director of natural resources and environmental policy for the Karuk. “We are trying to work with the Forest Service. We’ve been trying to do that for decades.”

Hillman, who owns a local market where 10 of his employees also lost their homes, believes preventive burning would have thinned undergrowth and slowed the spread of fire enough for firefighters to be able to protect people’s property.

“It’s something that the Karuk Tribe has been trying to do for years,” said Buster Attebery, 69, chairman of the tribe. “Our plans seem to be never considered.”

It is most troubling, Attebery and other tribe members say, because a great deal of progress seemed to have been made over the past few years convincing authorities to re-introduce ancient, indigenous fire stewardship techniques to the California landscape.

Only recently have scientists begun studying indigenous burning techniques, which were lit strategically at specific times of year in different places. That knowledge helped inspire state and federal fire officials and forestry experts to begin touting controlled burning as the cheapest and most efficient way to clear dry brush and excess debris in woodlands.

On Wednesday, California Gov. Gavin Newsom signed an executive order to conserve land in a way that would bolster the fight against climate change, including the use of prescribed fire. Cal Fire and the Forest Service signed a pact this year to dramatically increase the amount of prescribed burning.

Indigenous burning techniques were mentioned in the 93-page National Cohesive Wildland Fire Management Strategy, a blueprint released in 2014 for scientists, foresters, planners and other stakeholders to work together building resilient landscapes, fire-adapted communities and respond to wildfires in more effective ways.

But, despite all the planning, the amount of controlled burning done in California is far short of what is needed to address the scope and scale of the problem, according to fire science experts. The Karuk and other tribes have worked with the Forest Service on small scale burns, but it is generally agreed that not enough has been done to incorporate American Indian knowledge into the process.

The 3,800-member Karuk Tribe would like to change that. Their idea is to partner with the Forest Service, Cal Fire and other agencies to establish a statewide joint training program that would teach burning techniques used for centuries by Native Americans to clear undergrowth, promote growth of usable and edible plants- and restore the landscape to health.

The Karuk and their tribal neighbors, the Yurok and Hupa, have been at the forefront of the effort to restore prescribed fire to the Klamath basin, which they say has been transformed from spaced-out woodlands and open meadows before Europeans arrived to dense conifer forest.

Tripp helped prepare a collaborative program called the Western Klamath Restoration Project, which identifies conservation priorities in the region. Over the past 11 years, the Karuk have put together wildfire protection, climate change adaptation and fuels reduction plans, including traditional burning, for about 1.3 million acres of their ancestral lands along the Klamath and Salmon rivers.

The Somes Bar Integrated Fire Management Project, which included controlled burning in parts of the Six Rivers and Klamath national forests, was approved by the Forest Service in 2018.

But the Karuk were never able to do the burning or thinning projects they wanted to do in the forests that the Slater Fire tore through. That’s because as much as 99% of their aboriginal territory is managed by the Forest Service. The tribe owns multiple small pieces of land, including their administrative offices in Happy Camp, but even those are held in trust by the government. It means their plans won’t get implemented unless the government agrees.

Frank Lake, a Forest Service research ecologist and expert on indigenous and fire science, said federal officials have been trying hard to forge partnerships with the Karuk and other tribes, but it is difficult to get controlled burning projects implemented.

“I think it needs to be done,” said Lake, also a Karuk tribal descendant. “There needs to be an awareness of the importance of doing this kind of work and scaling it up, and you do that with collaborations.”

Lake said joint burning projects have been done with the tribe on forestry research plots in the area and the effects are being evaluated by scientists. He has conducted several studies showing the benefits of traditional burning and is now working with the California Air Resources Board to determine how much smoke such fires historically released.

Other projects have also occurred around the state, but Lake admitted that the amount of prescribed burning in California is far from what it could be. There are still many places in California that historically burned every 10 years that haven’t seen fire in a century, even after all the recent fires, he said.

One of the difficulties is incorporating native cultural and spiritual traditions, which regard fire as a medicine to be prescribed in doses appropriate for maintaining and perpetuating the ecosystem.

For the Karuk, the doses were prescribed based on seasonal and ecological clues — like changes in bird vocalizations — according to the traditions handed down through the generations. The fires removed excess vegetation, pests and cleared low lying branches that blocked sight lines for hunting. They also caused trees and bushes to drop seeds, producing food, like acorns and fruit.

Studies have shown that the Karuk historically burned 2-mile concentric circles around their village, creating a mosaic of brush and hard woods used for basketry, bow making and other tools, said Kathy McCovey, a Karuk cultural specialist.

“They would light fires when coming down in the fall from summer camps to the villages to clear the area, but also for basket material,” McCovey said. “We learned to evolve with fire and how to use fire as a tool, to enhance the habitat for animals and for material.”

Certain landscapes were burned upon the appearance of the Pleiades, popularly known as the Seven Sisters star cluster — known in Karuk folklore as the seven wives of the coyotes — and never during bird mating season, according to tribal leaders.

The smoke was believed to shade and cool the rivers and streams, inspiring salmon to spawn. These burning regimes were incorporated into flower dances, world renewal and other ceremonies that the Karuk still perform.

The difficulty incorporating such traditions into government policy goes both ways. Native Americans, including the Karuk, believe the act of seeking permission from the government to conduct their ceremonies or traditions violates their sovereignty.

“The Karuk shouldn’t have to prove these techniques work through western science,” said Tripp, who is a leader of the Nature Conservancy’s Fire Learning Network and its subgroup the Indigenous People’s Burning Network. “It has been proven over 10,000 years.”

Forestry officials, who generally acknowledge the value of the ancient traditions, say it is hard to put words into action because prescribed burning is so controversial. California’s forests are so dry and overgrown that introducing fire is now dangerous even during the winter. There are concerns about pollution from the smoke and fears that flames will get out of control, damage property and provoke lawsuits.

There is also a lot of red tape. Environmental documents have to be submitted to the state and federal governments, water quality and wildlife agencies before permits can be obtained.

“It can take years to go from point A to point B,” said Professor Don Hankins, an expert on forest restoration and tribal burning at Chico State University who has worked with the Karuk. “It’s definitely something I hope will make a difference as we move forward. It’s a matter of realizing the colonial ways of stewarding fire on the landscape just doesn’t work and we need to do something different.”

For now, the tribe will continue to train firefighters every year under the Prescribed Fire Training Exchange, or TREX program, with the goal of setting up a local incident command team that would be authorized by the government to use traditional burning methods.

It is too late for Hillman, who, in addition to his home, lost elk, otter and deer hides, rare shell necklaces and arrow making material, but he said the quest to bring back his disappearing culture will never end.

“I came from a medicine family, so we try to make the world better,” said Hillman, who cheered up a bit after finding his cat, Beans, wandering around the rubble on his property. “So we all have to do something to keep that going.”

Peter Fimrite is a San Francisco Chronicle staff writer. Email: pfimrite@sfchronicle.com Twitter: @pfimrite

(c)2020 the San Francisco Chronicle

New Moon In Libra – Just Do It

by Astro Butterfly (astrobutterfly.com)

On October 16th, 2020, we have a New Moon at 23° Libra

Libra is known for being the sign of peace and harmony, but will this New Moon in Libra bring us the ease and peace we desperately need?

No, it won’t.

… and that’s because the New Moon is square Saturn and Pluto in Capricorn AND is opposite Mars retrograde. That’s a lot of cardinal, action-on-steroids energy on the table!

New Moon In Libra – Just Do It

Best advice for the New Moon in Libra? Just do it. What if you don’t get the result you expect? Just do it again. 

Normally, “Just do it” doesn’t sound much like Libra… we all know that Libra is more like “I’ll do it later” …

However, when we have so much cardinal energy, when the New Moon in Libra is under siege by an angry Mars in Aries, we have no choice but to act, or translated into Libra’s “air” language, to make a decision.

Of course, Libra hates being hurried into making decisions because she is so concerned with finding THE BEST decision. 

However, since this New Moon is so cardinal, so fast, so furious, we will have no choice but get thighs going

The New Moon in Libra is not only opposite a furious Mars retrograde, but it is also square Saturn and Pluto in Capricorn.

New Moon In Libra – Cardinal Action

Libra, Aries and Capricorn are all Cardinal signs. 

By definition, Cardinal signs’ role is to pioneer, take action and to lead even when they have limited information, support, or evidence. 

Cardinal signs (Aries, Cancer, Libra, Capricorn) are the masters of ambiguity, and the more cryptic the goal, the more relaxed the guidelines, the more enthusiastic and motivated they are to meet their goal – of course, “their way”. 

“Yes, there were times, I’m sure you knew

When I bit off more than I could chew

But through it all, when there was doubt

I ate it up and spit it out

I faced it all, and I stood tall

And did it myyy waaay” 

Paul Anka, the author of “My Way” had Moon in Libra and Mars in Aries. His song was made famous by Frank Sinatra, a Libra rising with Venus in Capricorn. Talk about “cardinal” ways. 

At the New Moon in Libra, we have to act – despite confusion, difficulties, setbacks, or fear of failure. 

New Moon In Libra – Purpose And Freedom

And while the New Moon in Libra is one of the difficult New Moons of the year, here are some reasons to look forward – or at least, not to fear – the upcoming New Moon in Libra:

  • We are already ‘used’ to Mars retrograde, Saturn and Pluto. Yes, the New Moon in Libra will trigger Mars, Saturn and Pluto, but Mars, Saturn and Pluto have been triggered by so many other planets this year, that there is not much left for them to show us; in this context, the New Moon in Libra is more like ‘business as usual
  • Taking action is a good thing because movement = life. And sometimes we need stress, adrenaline, or a little ‘push’. This is something that people with Mutable, and especially Fixed energy can learn from Cardinal signs. You don’t have to push yourself all the time, but sometimes taking action under ambiguity will get you a long way
  • One of the basic principles of astrology is that the Universe always works in our favor, so if we trust that whatever happens is for our own good, we’ll get there without the unnecessary struggle and control-freakness. 
  • The ruler of the New Moon, Venus makes harmonious aspects to Jupiter and Uranus so this New Moon in Libra will not only bring us pressure and tension; but also opportunities to liberate ourselves from stagnation, (re) discover our enthusiasm, and find a new sense of freedom. 

Wishing you a purpose-driven New Moon in Libra!